The India September Weather Outlook 2025 indicates a hotter and drier month than usual, shaped by a weak La Niña and a negative Indian Ocean Dipole. Most regions—especially north, west, and central India—are expected to see reduced rainfall and above-normal temperatures, raising risks for agriculture, water security, and energy demand.
Explained by ABC Live | Based on WMO Global Seasonal Climate Forecast
New Delhi (ABC Live): The India September Weather Outlook 2025 shows that the month will be hotter and drier than normal across much of the country. This projection comes from the World Meteorological Organisation’s (WMO) seasonal update, which highlights the combined influence of a weak La Niña in the Pacific Ocean and a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in the Indian Ocean. Together, these climate drivers suggest that India will face reduced rainfall and above-normal heat, making September a critical month for Kharif crops, water resources, and energy demand.
? Key Highlights
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Above-normal heat expected in north and central India.
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Below-normal rainfall is likely in the northwest, central, and southern states.
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Weak La Niña is supportive but outweighed by negative IOD, leading to dryness.
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Risks: Crop stress, water shortages, and heat stress in vulnerable populations.
? Global Climate Drivers
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La Niña (weak): Normally supports rainfall in India.
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Negative IOD: Historically reduces late monsoon rains.
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Net impact: The India September 2025 forecast points to hotter and drier conditions.
?? Temperature Outlook
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Above-normal across most states.
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Hotspots: Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar.
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South India: Warm but less extreme.
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Risk: Extended heatwaves into October.
?? Rainfall Forecast
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Deficient rainfall likely in: Rajasthan, Gujarat, western UP, MP, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Kerala, TN, Andhra.
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Near-normal rainfall in eastern and northeastern states (Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Bengal).
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Monsoon withdrawal may start earlier than usual.
? Agriculture & Water Impacts
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Kharif crops face moisture stress.
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Reservoir inflows are likely below average in central and southern India.
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Delayed soil moisture recharge may hinder Rabi sowing.
?? Risks for India
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Agriculture ? Yield stress, irrigation pressure.
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Energy ? Higher demand for cooling & pumping.
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Health ? Heat stress, especially in cities.
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Water ? Rising groundwater dependence.
? Regional Summary – September 2025
| Region | Outlook |
|---|---|
| North India | ?? Hot & Dry – weak rains |
| Central India | ? Hotter & Drier – crop stress |
| West India | ? Deficient Rain – drought risk |
| East/Northeast | ?? Near Normal Rain – patchy relief |
| South India | ?? Warm & Dry – weak monsoon |
? ABC Live Editorial Note
At ABC Live – Research Based Journalism, this India September Weather Outlook 2025 is published to give policymakers, farmers, and businesses a forward-looking tool beyond daily forecasts. Unlike short updates, it connects global climate signals (La Niña, IOD) to India’s real vulnerabilities in agriculture, energy, and water management.
? Sources
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Gadgil, S. (2018). The Indian Monsoon and Its Variability. Current Science.
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Walker, G. T. (1924). Correlation in seasonal variations of weather. Memoirs of IMD.
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